Does Burning Guarantee a Net Deflationary State for Ethereum?

No, burning does not guarantee a net deflationary state. Deflation only occurs if the amount of Ether burned from transaction fees exceeds the amount of new Ether issued to stakers as rewards within the same period.

If network usage is low, issuance will outpace burning, and the supply will remain inflationary.

How Does the “Burning” of the Base Fee in EIP-1559 Create Deflationary Pressure on ETH?
What Is the Purpose of Burning the Base Fee under EIP-1559?
How Does EIP-1559 Relate to the Concept of “Ultrasound Money” for Ethereum?
Why Is the Base Fee Burned Instead of Going to Validators?
What Is “EIP-1559” and How Did It Change Ethereum’s Gas Mechanism?
How Does EIP-1559 Change the Fee Market on Ethereum?
What Is the Difference between a ‘Priority Fee’ and a ‘Base Fee’?
How Does the Burning of the ‘Base Fee’ under EIP-1559 Affect the Supply of Ether?

Glossar