How Does a Breach Affect the ‘Risk-Free Rate’ Assumption in Option Pricing?
The risk-free rate is a theoretical rate of return on an investment with zero risk, a key input in the Black-Scholes model. A security breach in the underlying asset's network introduces systemic risk, making the asset itself no longer 'risk-free.' While the rate in the model is usually based on sovereign debt, a major breach could lead traders to implicitly demand a higher discount rate, effectively increasing the perceived cost of capital.
Glossar
Risk-Free Rate
Rate ⎊ The risk-free rate represents the theoretical return on an investment with zero risk, serving as a critical input in option pricing models to calculate the cost of carrying an asset forward in time, particularly relevant for valuing longer-dated crypto options.
Security Breach
Incident ⎊ Security Breach signifies an unauthorized event where the confidentiality, integrity, or availability of a cryptocurrency system, such as an exchange, wallet, or DeFi protocol, has been demonstrably compromised.