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How Does the Time Horizon of a Liquidity Provision Affect the Probability of Realizing a Loss?

A longer time horizon generally increases the probability of realizing a net gain, despite impermanent loss. This is because a longer period allows for more transaction fees to be collected, which can offset the IL.

However, a longer time horizon also increases the chance of a large, sustained price divergence, which could lead to a greater magnitude of IL. The risk is balanced by the potential for greater fee accumulation.

Can Transaction Fees Fully Offset Impermanent Loss for a Liquidity Provider?
How Does the Time Horizon Affect the Premium Difference between OTM and ITM Options?
What Is the Concept of “Divergence Loss” in Relation to Impermanent Loss?
How Does the Block Time of a Blockchain Affect the Speed of Fee Market Clearing?