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Is Basis Risk Generally Higher or Lower for a Cryptocurrency Futures Contract Compared to a Traditional Commodity Future?

Basis risk is often considered higher for cryptocurrency futures. This is due to the higher volatility of crypto assets, the fragmentation of the spot market across many exchanges, and the varying methodologies used to calculate the crypto index price for settlement.

Traditional commodities have more standardized spot markets and often have a physical delivery mechanism that forces convergence more strictly, leading to a generally more predictable basis.

How Does ‘Market Fragmentation’ Affect the Efficiency of a Crypto Options Market?
How Does Market Manipulation Risk Compare between Crypto and Commodity Futures?
How Is a Physically-Settled Commodity Future Taxed If It Is a Section 1256 Contract?
Why Is Delivery Risk Generally Lower in Traditional Commodity Futures than in Crypto Futures?