What Is ‘Adverse Selection’ and How Does It Relate to a Market Maker’s Profitability despite a High Fill Rate?
Adverse selection occurs when a market maker's quotes are consistently executed only when the market is about to move against them, meaning they are trading with better-informed counterparties. A high fill rate in this scenario indicates the market maker is being 'picked off' due to stale or mispriced quotes, leading to losses despite high volume, thus hurting profitability.