What Is the ‘Exit Multiple’ Method for Calculating Terminal Value?

The Exit Multiple method calculates Terminal Value (TV) by multiplying a key financial metric of the protocol in the final forecast year (e.g. Protocol Revenue or Total Value Locked) by an appropriate valuation multiple (e.g.

P/S or MC/TVL). This multiple is derived from comparable, mature public companies or protocols.

This method is often preferred in crypto because it avoids the sensitive perpetual growth rate assumption of the GGM, though it relies on finding truly comparable, mature assets.

Why Is Terminal Value Estimation Particularly Challenging in Crypto DCF?
What Is the Gordon Growth Model and Its Applicability to Crypto Terminal Value?
What Are the Main Criticisms of Using TVL as a Primary Valuation Metric for DeFi Protocols?
What Is the Significance of the “Fully Diluted” MC/TVL Ratio?
Why Is a Protocol’s Fee Structure Crucial When Using the MC/TVL Ratio?
How Does the Potential for a ‘Protocol Sink’ Affect the Terminal Value?
Why Is a Zero or Near-Zero Growth Rate Often Preferred for Crypto Terminal Value?
How Is the Concept of “Total Value Locked” (TVL) Used as a Valuation Metric?