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What Is the Impact of an Illiquid Physical Delivery Market on the Price of a Dual-Settlement Contract?

An illiquid physical delivery market can cause the dual-settlement contract to trade at a premium or discount relative to its fair cash-settled value, particularly near expiration. The difficulty and cost of executing the physical delivery can lead to a divergence.

Traders may price in a premium for the certainty of cash settlement or a discount due to the risk and hassle of taking physical delivery.

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