Skip to main content

What Is the Theoretical Maximum Difference between the Spot and Futures Price?

In a contango market, the theoretical maximum difference (premium) is the full cost of carry (financing, storage, insurance) until expiration. In a backwardation market, there is no theoretical maximum limit on how far the futures price can fall below the spot price, though extreme backwardation is rare and short-lived.

How Does the “Cost of Carry” Affect the Theoretical Price of a Futures Contract?
What Is the ‘Cost of Carry’ and How Does It Contribute to a Contango Market?
What Is ‘Contango’ and ‘Backwardation’ in Futures Markets?
Define “Contango” and “Backwardation” in Futures Markets